Estimate of the situation

The Estimate of the situation (in English: Estimate off the situation ) is a secret report/ratio written in 1948 by the personnel of the Projet Sign, a scientific project of study of the UFO created by the US Air Force. In this report/ratio, the scientists of Sign explain in what the extraterrestrial Hypothèse is according to them most plausible to explain the nature of the UFO the most mysterious.

History

Historian David Michael Jacobs writes that a very documented case of UFO, where two airline pilots experienced and above all suspicions, Clarence Chiles and John Whitted, transfer with the top of the Alabama an UFO in the shape of cigar, very luminous, and more rapid that any plane of the time in 1948, made change the opinion of the experts of Sign , before very skeptics. The same object had been seen a few days before this event close to $the Hague, with the Netherlands.

Like notes it Dr. Michael Swords, " the members of the project transfer that they had several dozen aerial observations which they could not explain, of which much made by military pilots or scientists. These objects behaved like technological objects, but this technology was not ours " . So gradually, the idea that part of the UFO were probably of origin Extra-terrestre started to germinate in the spirit of the experts of Sign .

When the captain Edward J. Ruppelt, former director of the Project Blue Book, makes public the estimate of the situation in 1956, he writes:

" In the intelligence services, if you have something to say on an important problem, you write a report/ratio, a " estimate of the situation". A few days after the observation of the DC63 (the report/ratio of Chiles and Whitted), the personnel of Sign decided that it was time to make an estimate of the situation. And this estimate was that the UFO were of origin extraterrestrial!

It was a thick document with a black cover, printed with the governmental paper standart, on which was plugged the words " SIGNAL SECRET".

It contained the analysis of the Air Force on much incidents about which I spoke, more others still. Many of these observations came from scientists, pilots and other witnesses credible, and each one of these cases had an unknown cause.

… Quant the Estimate was supplemented, typed and approved, it with started to assemble the levels of the military hierarchy. It generated many comments but nobody rejected it.

It was however then rejected by the general Hoyt S. Vandenberg, who did not accept the possibility of an extraterrestrial origin of certain UFO, even if this idea emanated from scientists. According to Ruppelt, the Estimate of the situation then knew a " died rapide" . A few months later, it was déclassifiée and more or less forgotten.

In the years 1980, a ufologist questioned a colonel of the US Air Force, which had taken part in the drafting of the Report/ratio as it was lieutenant. According to this colonel, the Vandenberg general had made censure the passage of the Estimate mentioning the physical evidence of the extraterrestrial origin of the UFO, to be able to reject officially the report/ratio then. However, no proof of this censure was provided.

See too

Project Sign
UFO
History of Ufologie
Need to know

of it

Sources

Jerome Clark; The UFO Book: Encyclopedia off the Extraterrestrial ; Visible Ink, 1998; ISBN 1578590299
David Michael Jacobs; The UFO Controversy In America ; Indiana University Near, 1975; ISBN 0253190061
Diana Hoyt Micrometer caliper, " UFOCRITIQUE: UFO' S, Social Intelligence and the Condon Committee" ; Master' S Thesis, Virginia Polytechnic Institute, 2000; read it online
J. Allen Hynek; The UFO Experiment: In Scientific Inquiry ; 1972; Henry Regnery Company
Kevin Randle; UFO Casebook ; Warner Books; 1989; ISBN 0446357154
Jenny Randles and Peter Houghe; The Supplements Book UFOs off: Year Investigation into Alien Contact and Encounters; Sterling Publishing Co, Inc, 1994; ISBN 0806981326
Edward J. Ruppelt; The Carryforward one Unidentified Flying Objects ; 1956; Doubleday & Company online--see Chapter 2
Michael D. Swords, " UFOs, the Military, and the Early Cold War" (pp. 82-122 in UFOs and Abductions: Challenging the Borders off Knowledge , David Mr. Jacobs, editor; University Close off Kansas, 2000; ISBN)
Michael D. Swords, " Project Sign and the Estimate off the Situation" (2000) read it online

Random links: